Stack your convictions into a single, fairly priced bet
Bundle two or three prediction market outcomes into one position, priced the way markets actually behave.
One receipt, one payout, underwritten by the LP vault
What is a parlay, really
A combined bet on two or more events: every leg has to hit, but the payout grows with each one you add.
The catch is that prediction markets are full of correlated outcomes, and pricing them naively quietly breaks the math for everyone involved.
Treats every leg as unrelated. Overpays winners and bleeds the vault.
Reconstructs the real joint probability. Honest payouts, solvent LPs.
What the copula actually sees
Each dot is a historical outcome across two markets. Independent markets look diffuse; correlated markets collapse toward a diagonal. The copula turns that shape into a price.
Diffuse cloud, no structure. Naive pricing lives here
Cloud collapses toward a trend. The copula reads the shape
Four steps from conviction to settlement
Pick your events
Two or three outcomes, any category.
We price the combo
The correlation engine returns a fair joint probability and payout.
Lock in your position
Deposit USDC and receive a transferable position receipt.
Settle automatically
Every leg hits, you get paid. Any leg misses, the vault keeps the deposit.
The mechanics, at a glance
Because multi-outcome markets should actually be tradeable
Parlays are the highest-margin product in sports betting and the one prediction markets have never shipped. If you can’t price correlated outcomes, you can’t underwrite them. Laytus finally can.